Newsprint continues its downward slide

Newsprint consumption continues its decline along with paper pricing and supply of product. Demand has fallen even greater than anticipated. In 2005 total North America demand dropped over 6% to 10.4million tons – with USA daily newspaper consumption falling 5.4% or 7.5million tons. In 2006 the decline continued, as North American demand dropped to 9.7million tons. In 2007, the demand has fallen 9 months in a row. USA newspapers continue to loose circulation, pages and have made the actual newspaper publication smaller in size – all leading to less paper.

Newsprint volumes and prices remain under pressure. Industry experts expect further pressure for the balance of the year. Prices have dropped $110/ton since last September, after declining during each of the last 12 months. We expect year end results will be brutal as lower prices and higher costs will be.
The largest dynamic in the newsprint market includes the proposed combination of Abitibi (#1) and Bowater (#2). Other producers such as Catalyst, Kruger or White Birch could emerge as additional consolidators. SP Newsprint is reportedly still on the blocks. Boise appears poised to convert one of its newsprint machines to containerboard.