Friday, September 11, 2009

Analyst Comments of Poor Newspaper Advertising Recovery

Wells Fargo researchers recently commented on a potential advertising recovery in third quarter.
The Wells Fargo team said ad revenue has stalled in August while September appears to be starting off weak. Specific focus was on the Gannett Group, a bell weather for the Newspaper industry.

Wells Fargo reduced its Q3 newspaper advertising revenue estimate for Gannett from a decline of 25.5 percent to a decline of 28.8 percent. Local is forecast to fall 22.5 percent, national is anticipated to drop 21 percent and classified is estimated to decrease 40 percent (versus a previous -19 percent, -18 percent and -37 percent respectively).

Overall advertising revenue is expected to fall 20.2 percent in Q4, revised down from a decline of 16.9 percent.

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