Newsprint market

The official newsprint price fell an additional $10/ton, after falling $35/ton over the last few months. Without more capacity
rationalization, prices could fall even further. The market is sloppy and needs a fix; it may come by a "merger of equals" between Bowater and Abitibi. However, we think an even better catalyst would be consolidation among 2nd & 3rd tier players. One other issue to watch: ONP (Old Newspaper =recycle fiber) costs. While the trades are showing prices up only about
$5/ton in February, our brokerage contacts are pointing to increases as large as $40/ton. This would have big implications for many producers, especially recycled-heavy producers.