Update on Paper Industry

In the past several years, we have witnessed a closer match of supply to demand – given the shuttering of paper machines and plants. Also, the global markets are alive and well – with China quickly catching up to USA capacity. In 2006 North America capacity witnessed its biggest one year drop – shedding nearly 3.9million tons – with the biggest effects on Containerboard and Uncoated Writing papers. The only new capacity announced is in Brazil, China, and Russia – not the USA. The curtailment of capacity, coupled with increased raw material costs yielded many price increases in most grade sectors. Some of the bigger stories of production changes include Boise converting 440,000 tons from uncoated to pressure sensitive label; International Paper conversion of 350,000 tons from uncoated to linerboard; UPM lightweight coated machine no longer producing 495,000 tons, Verso shutting down 505,000 of coated paper, and Domtar and Georgia Pacific shuttering over 200,000 of uncoated writing papers. Most likely, prices will remain firm for balance of year.