Monday, April 17, 2006

Paper Industry Experts Forecast US Paper Capacity Decline

Although many sectors within the paper industry appear to be doing very well in today’s climate, must agree that long-term trends will continue a downward capacity.
-Downward capacity trend begin in 2001 with many mills announcing manufacturing equipment curtailments
-2005 overall capacity reductions estimated at a negative 760,000tons - representing 45 machines permanently removed.
note, almost 7million tons was taken out of production at some point during year.
-2005 capacity 99.5million tons
-2005 US Newsprint (used in newspapers) declined by 865,000 tons - 13% - total of 5.76million tons
-2005 US printing and writing gained 0.7% to nearly 26million tons
-Capacity forecast to decline nearly 600,000tons over next 2 years
-2005 mechanical (groundwood) capacity grew 8% to 2.25million tons - most of increase came from conversion from newsprint machines
-2005 Coated Mechanical (magazine paper) capacity rose to over 5million tons or 2.3% increase.
Capacity will decline with the recent announcement of 2 machines shutting own.
-2005 uncoated free sheet declined to 13.5million tons. This sector is predicted to continue declining capacity.
-Tissue paper and Kraft paper continue to witness declining capacity

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